Every major AI research benchmark launched in 2023-2024 has either saturated or is nearing saturation within months, indicating rapid progress in AI capabilities.
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Technology
172 posts
The Co-Founder’s Black Hole — A Structural Read on Jack Clark’s Automated AI R&D Essay
Jack Clark predicts over 60% chance that AI will autonomously build its own successor by 2028, raising urgent policy and safety questions.
The Skills Marketplace, Six Months Later: Predicted vs Actual
An analysis of the skills marketplace’s growth, structure, and challenges six months after predictions, highlighting confirmed developments and ongoing uncertainties.
Jack Clark Says It Out Loud — Reading the Co-Founder’s 60%/2028 Estimate on Automated AI R&D
Anthropic’s co-founder Jack Clark publicly estimates a 60% probability that autonomous AI systems capable of self-improvement will emerge by 2028.
The Compute Concentration Audit: When Sovereign Wealth Funds Notice Three Companies Own the Frontier
Regulators are actively investigating the concentration of cloud infrastructure among three major providers, impacting AI development and sovereign investment strategies.
The New Personal Agent Layer
OpenClaw introduces a new persistent personal agent layer, enabling AI to act across digital environments with memory and tool use, impacting personal and enterprise workflows.
The Continual Learning Research Map: Where the Memento Constraint Stands in May 2026
An update on the research landscape of the Memento Constraint, highlighting current approaches, timelines, and remaining uncertainties in achieving continual learning in AI models.
The Trojan Horse in Your Living Room: How Smart TVs Became the World’s Most Sophisticated Ad Surveillance Network
Smart TVs collect detailed screen and audio data via Automatic Content Recognition, fueling a lucrative ad ecosystem and raising privacy concerns.
The $9 Billion Signature Tax: How DocuSign’s Business Model Survives on One Assumption
A new open-source project, DocuSeal, challenges DocuSign’s dominance by offering a free, self-hosted digital signature solution, raising questions about industry sustainability.
The Skills Marketplace Nobody Is Building Yet
A new open standard for AI skills exists, but no marketplace or ecosystem has yet built a comprehensive, monetized, cross-surface platform. This gap may define future AI infrastructure.